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Tournament in Las Vegas - 3
Poker Challenge Movie: Tournament in Las Vegas - 3

Nickname:

My Opinion:

Comments:
jason (2 years ago) i agree with zachvac. Well, i guess everyone else agreed ;)
zachvac (2 years ago) umm, no offense but this is completely and utterly wrong. 31% of the time? Even if we assume he's on an A and not a draw, we have 14 outs twice, not for just one card.

1 - (33/47)(32/46) = .511

We are a favorite to win this hand against something like AK. Of course if he has a set or 2-pair here we're not a favorite anymore, but if we assume we have the 14 outs we are a favorite to win the hand. And you're trying to tell me that I'll only win 31% of the time? That's just flat out wrong.
kiwi's Answer: fold
You have middle pair and you're 4-to-the-flush, giving you about 14 outs. There is 18x the big blind in the pot and you would have to call 15x the big blind to play. The pot odds prevent the call from being a smart play. (Although this is not the smart play, many players with 40x the big blind in chips might want to gamble in this position. Keep in mind that it certainly is a gamble. You stand to win about 31% of the time.)

Judge's Words:   
jason (2 years ago) i agree with zachvac. Well, i guess everyone else agreed ;)
zachvac (2 years ago) umm, no offense but this is completely and utterly wrong. 31% of the time? Even if we assume he's on an A and not a draw, we have 14 outs twice, not for just one card.

1 - (33/47)(32/46) = .511

We are a favorite to win this hand against something like AK. Of course if he has a set or 2-pair here we're not a favorite anymore, but if we assume we have the 14 outs we are a favorite to win the hand. And you're trying to tell me that I'll only win 31% of the time? That's just flat out wrong.

Community Votes:
Fold 16% (4/25)
Call 84% (21/25)
Statistics: top odds to improve by the turn
Two Pairs 19 %
Flush 19 %
Three of a Kind 4.3 %
Statistics: top odds to improve by the river
Flush 35 %
Two Pairs 27 %
Three of a Kind 6.7 %
Full House 2.5 %

kiwi's picture kiwi     11 challenges
From:
Joined: 2 years ago
Title: Tournament in Las Vegas - 3
Added: 2 years ago
Challenged: 25 times
Favorited: 0 times

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